Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.241712 3.598308 3.984589 4.435216 4.947845 5.514446 6.190269
2025-05-11 2.739439 3.219991 3.777416 4.476012 5.333978 6.360811 7.694071
2025-05-18 2.417888 2.962797 3.627427 4.506319 5.650806 7.108435 9.134206
2025-05-25 2.121400 2.683286 3.395580 4.377791 5.717590 7.511719 10.148578
2025-06-01 1.920472 2.495515 3.248937 4.326230 5.856803 7.999947 11.313344
2025-06-08 1.765779 2.349241 3.136191 4.298296 6.010960 8.508602 12.555285
2025-06-15 1.692478 2.304025 3.152617 4.446357 6.424152 9.429674 14.539440
2025-06-22 1.580567 2.193209 3.063753 4.427181 6.577658 9.963765 15.968353
2025-06-29 1.475843 2.083288 2.965102 4.380342 6.677314 10.414912 17.309732
2025-07-06 1.338646 1.915136 2.766183 4.158697 6.470895 10.333999 17.692842
2025-07-13 1.276100 1.854116 2.724162 4.180173 6.663362 10.943961 19.417518
2025-07-20 1.233484 1.820006 2.720163 4.261073 6.961342 11.767614 21.668293
2025-07-27 1.190989 1.784581 2.713517 4.340537 7.271675 12.663715 24.241873
2025-08-03 1.144504 1.739656 2.688125 4.385487 7.524509 13.483842 26.804984
2025-08-10 1.099196 1.693376 2.656636 4.415968 7.751972 14.280485 29.457391
2025-08-17 1.029357 1.602361 2.543720 4.290645 7.668893 14.441097 30.686943
2025-08-24 0.978627 1.540049 2.475324 4.240328 7.725435 14.893750 32.682663
2025-08-31 0.935771 1.488452 2.421912 4.213057 7.824128 15.446018 35.023404
2025-09-07 0.923394 1.488074 2.457990 4.357617 8.287458 16.854643 39.840567
2025-09-14 0.886784 1.443406 2.411889 4.338896 8.405935 17.499257 42.753586
2025-09-21 0.848788 1.394216 2.354499 4.293167 8.461302 18.003000 45.378408
2025-09-28 0.789348 1.304008 2.216866 4.076738 8.122605 17.524423 45.067197
2025-10-05 0.766171 1.277830 2.196675 4.097711 8.315577 18.369503 48.891946